Make no mistake, this is going to happen. No let me correct this, this needs to happen, and any Government that fails to face this is only going to exacerbate this problem.
Some 4 years ago, I predicted that the growth in public spending was going to cause a huge problem for the public finances, and that the public sector was going to have to face the prospect of huge cuts in its budget.
I had no idea that the credit crunch was coming too, but the underlying problem remains - we are spending too much on the public sector, and there needs to be cuts to balance the books.
The exact same problem would face whoever was in Holyrood, simply because the size of the settlement is dictated by Westminster and the money just won't be there to fund the expenditure.
Talk of 6,000 jobs being lost across the entire public sector is dramatically understating the cuts that will need to be made, and I would suggest that double that number is more realistic, allied with a complete review of public sector pensions and benefits. That equates to around 60 jobs in the Western Isles.
Some of this might be mitigated by other methods, but the bottom line is that those savings will be necessary - and will be imposed despite the Concordat - for the Council, Health Board and the others to make the books balance.
Make no mistake, tough times are ahead, and the Tories are going to inherit an unholy mess that they will use as the justification for deep cuts in public expenditure, and Holyrood will be forced to dance to the same tune.
A rebalancing of public finances is utterly necessary, but that's not going to ease the pain we will all feel.